Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Flaggs | 30 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| D. Bjegovic | 30 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| S. Toles-Bey | 28 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J. Eller | 27 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Dickson | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Marcial | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Daniel | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| M. Selling | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Stigall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Larson | 34 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| C. Jones | 34 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 21 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| E. Platt | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Rogers | 20 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Lepley | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Jones | 11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter