Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | -0.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +9 (61-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 36 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 30 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Qvale | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. McGillis | 26 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Selvig | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| W. Cherry | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Taylor | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Young | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Stockton | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| V. Banny | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Ward | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Rush | 36 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| B. Howard | 35 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Navarre | 33 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| B. Johnson | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| W. Bynum | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Henderson | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter