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2010-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 34.5% 65.5% -
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% -
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 55.5% 44.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% -
Log Adjusted 54.7% 45.3% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -15 (43-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens 37 2-9 2-6 1-2 4 1 2 0 3 7 2 -
A. Fuller 36 6-11 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 1 3 13 6 -
C. Payne 35 2-10 0-1 4-8 5 3 2 0 5 8 3 -
E. May 34 4-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 1 3 9 6 -
J. Cole 25 5-6 0-0 1-1 10 0 0 1 3 11 13 -
B. Cougill 13 3-3 2-2 2-2 5 2 0 1 1 10 14 -
D. Bawinkel 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Lickliter 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Brommer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Jones III 33 6-12 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 2 2 14 3 -
J. Rivers 30 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 4 2 2 2 4 -
C. Watford 30 4-12 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 3 10 0 -
T. Pritchard 26 1-3 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 1 1 2 6 -
D. Dumes 24 1-4 0-2 4-6 2 0 2 0 5 6 1 -
J. Hulls 24 1-6 0-5 3-3 1 0 1 0 1 5 0 -
D. Moore 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
B. Capobianco 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
D. Elston 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
M. Bawa 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Jobe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter