Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Daniel | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| K. Daniels | 35 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Hill | 28 | 9-13 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| W. Galick | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Taylor | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| V. McGhee | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. McLemore | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Lizarraga | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Cody | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| V. Cordell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Keeler | 37 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 9-10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| D. Hanson | 32 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| K. Odister | 26 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| W. Taylor | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Lewis | 25 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Brown | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Lewis | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Darling | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Anderson | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Royer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter