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2010-01-23

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 30.6% 69.4% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 78.9% 21.1% -
Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.6% 8.4% -
Log Adjusted 91.7% 8.3% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -9 (70-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Bellfield 33 1-4 0-1 1-1 1 5 0 1 3 3 3 -
T. Willis 31 9-14 1-4 11-14 6 4 1 1 2 30 26 -
D. Jasper 27 2-3 0-0 1-2 9 2 1 0 1 5 13 -
C. Stanback 26 8-12 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 19 11 -
K. Wallace 22 0-5 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -6 -
B. Massamba 16 2-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
D. Santee 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
A. Marshall 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 0 6 -
M. Shaw 9 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
J. Hawkins 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
S. Jones Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Moss 37 3-8 2-6 1-1 4 6 0 1 4 9 8 -
Z. Buljan 36 4-10 1-4 4-4 5 4 2 0 1 13 13 -
N. Cerina 31 4-7 0-0 6-11 2 0 0 0 2 14 7 -
E. Ruzgas 28 3-6 3-6 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 11 5 -
K. Mitchem 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 3 -
X. Roberson 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
G. Hill 18 4-9 3-7 2-3 1 0 1 0 1 13 5 -
K. Butler 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -

* = starter