Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +10 (69-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Novak | 36 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| D. Sims | 35 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| S. Douglass | 33 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Morris | 23 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Wright | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Person | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Bartelstein | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hummel | 35 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| E. Moore | 35 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| J. Johnson | 33 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 8 | - |
| C. Kramer | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| K. Barlow | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Grant | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Hart | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Smith | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Wohlford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Bade | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter