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Mississippi State Bulldogs 57
@
Alabama Crimson Tide 62
2010-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% - ✓
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 ✓ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% - ✓
Efficiency 55.6% 44.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% - ✓

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +5 (62-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stewart 38 3-10 1-7 6-7 2 1 2 0 1 13 7 -
J. Varnado 37 4-14 0-0 1-3 8 1 0 4 1 9 7 -
D. Bost 36 3-13 0-4 4-8 8 2 0 0 5 10 2 -
R. Johnson 26 4-9 0-2 2-3 5 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
P. Turner 23 2-5 1-3 0-0 7 2 2 1 0 5 12 -
K. Augustus 17 2-3 0-1 2-2 5 1 1 2 2 6 10 -
R. Osby 14 2-8 0-1 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
R. Benock 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
W. Lewis 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Torrance 31 6-13 4-8 4-4 4 5 1 0 2 20 15 -
T. Mitchell 29 3-10 0-2 0-0 12 1 2 0 1 6 10 -
J. Green 29 6-13 0-1 6-9 9 2 1 3 3 18 17 -
A. Brock 28 2-6 2-4 2-2 4 5 0 0 3 8 8 -
S. Hillman 27 1-12 0-2 0-1 9 2 0 1 2 2 0 -
C. Hines 26 2-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 3 0 1 4 7 -
C. Davis 16 2-4 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
J. Knox 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 0 2 -
B. Eblen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter