Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 34 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| J. Harden | 34 | 9-19 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| D. Calegari | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Welch | 20 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Malik | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Howley | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Floyd | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| J. Ranger | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Young | 36 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| S. Willard | 32 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Smith | 29 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Nunnally | 27 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| L. Neufville | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Ford | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| P. Eveland | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Huddleston | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| N. Williams | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Lamar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| E. Lacerda | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Kamler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter