Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Utah Utes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Utes +17 (71-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Fletcher | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Lyons | 27 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. McLain | 25 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| A. Merriex | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Brooks | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Fow | 15 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| G. Parker | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Broekhuis | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Z. Bohannon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Drca | 31 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Brown | 26 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| S. Glover | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Foster | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| J. Watkins | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Henderson | 17 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| J. Tavita | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Tillie | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Washburn | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Hines | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Read | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Smith | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Shoff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Cyphers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter