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2010-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 43.7% 56.3% -
Bradley-Terry 77.8% 22.2% -
Margin 84.4% 15.6% -9.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 63.0% 37.0% -
Efficiency 81.0% 19.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% -
Log Adjusted 91.0% 9.0% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -13 (47-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 40 5-12 1-3 1-2 2 1 2 0 5 12 0 -
J. Scheyer 40 5-13 1-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 11 2 -
N. Smith 37 8-13 2-4 4-4 3 2 2 1 0 22 17 -
L. Thomas 35 5-9 0-0 3-3 7 1 1 0 1 13 12 -
M. Plumlee 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 2 7 -
B. Zoubek 14 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 1 1 1 1 0 3 -
M. Plumlee 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 -
R. Kelly 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Booker 34 10-14 0-0 2-2 6 1 2 2 3 22 16 -
D. Stitt 34 4-12 1-2 1-2 3 3 0 0 3 10 1 -
A. Young 26 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 7 3 -
D. Potter 23 1-5 0-3 3-3 1 0 1 0 0 5 2 -
T. Smith 23 0-4 0-1 2-4 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
J. Grant 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 0 4 -
N. Johnson 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -3 -
D. Booker 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 1 1 -
M. Jennings 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
D. Hill 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Narcisse 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Baciu 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter