Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +18 (82-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 38 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | - |
| A. Nigon | 28 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Franklin | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Busch | 25 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| G. Smith | 23 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| A. Ogide | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Hornung | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. McFarland | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| H. Perry | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Dunn | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Annese | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. McDonald | 31 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| R. Martinez | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D. Gary | 27 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 10-10 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| D. Hobson | 24 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| W. Brown | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| N. Garth | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Fenton | 15 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| C. Dennis | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Adams | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
* = starter