Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -1 (64-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 35 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| D. Green | 31 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Summers | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Allen | 27 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| R. Morgan | 27 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| K. Lucious | 19 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| D. Roe | 13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| G. Sherman | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Nix | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hoffarber | 36 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| D. Joseph | 36 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| L. Westbrook | 36 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| R. Sampson III | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Johnson | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| P. Carter | 14 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Iverson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Bostick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Cobbs | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter