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Illinois State Redbirds 80
@
Southern Illinois Salukis 81
2010-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 55.3% 44.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% - ✓
Margin 41.7% 58.3% +1.8 ✓ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% - ✗
Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 59.6% 40.4% - ✗

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +1 (81-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Eldridge 40 5-21 2-9 4-4 5 2 2 0 2 16 2 -
A. Rubin 38 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 6 5 -
T. Lewis 33 5-6 0-0 6-8 2 1 1 0 1 16 13 -
D. Odiakosa 29 7-9 0-0 2-3 7 0 1 1 2 16 14 -
L. Phillips 27 4-9 1-2 2-2 1 4 1 0 2 11 6 -
A. Hill 22 2-8 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 6 2 -
J. Carmichael 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
B. Mishler 8 2-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 2 1 5 7 -
J. Clark 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bocot 38 4-8 2-4 4-4 8 0 1 0 1 14 14 -
K. Dillard 38 4-8 0-2 10-11 1 7 1 0 3 18 16 -
T. Freeman 37 4-11 4-8 0-0 3 6 0 0 3 12 7 -
A. Booker 32 5-7 0-0 3-4 7 0 2 3 4 13 14 -
N. Mitchell 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 2 5 -
C. Fay 15 4-7 1-3 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
E. Teague 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
K. Brown-Surles 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Crowder 10 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
N. Evans 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter