Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McCamey | 39 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 10 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 37 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 31 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| B. Paul | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| M. Davis | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Cole | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Keller | 19 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Jordan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Griffey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Crawford | 38 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Nash | 35 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 9-10 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| J. Shurna | 33 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| M. Thompson | 27 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Rowley | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Capocci | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter