Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Eller | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| A. Flaggs | 27 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| S. Toles-Bey | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Daniel | 22 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Bjegovic | 21 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Dickson | 19 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Marcial | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Stigall | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Selling | 14 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Malloy | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Lopez | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Figures | 32 | 2-11 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Y. Bonner | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 25 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| N. Kingman | 21 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Proctor | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Lloyd | 19 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Kaba | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| H. Brereton | 7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Osborne | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Arnold | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Hall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter