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2010-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 72.7% 27.3% -
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% -
Margin 67.6% 32.4% -4.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 69.1% 30.9% -
Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% -
Log Adjusted 67.8% 32.2% -

Actual: Brown Bears -8 (63-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zampier 32 7-15 3-7 5-6 2 3 4 0 2 22 14 -
P. Braswell 29 2-4 1-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 0 6 8 -
A. Morgan 26 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
M. Sands 26 2-7 0-0 3-4 8 1 1 0 5 7 5 -
G. Mangano 21 5-11 0-0 2-3 11 0 1 5 2 12 16 -
P. Nelson 19 1-6 0-0 6-6 4 0 0 2 1 8 7 -
J. Gibson 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
J. Davis 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
M. Grace 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Mantilla 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mullery 32 7-13 1-1 4-9 9 4 0 2 7 19 14 -
T. Halpern 32 1-13 0-5 4-4 10 3 2 0 0 6 8 -
A. Williams 32 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
G. Leffelman 30 6-12 3-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 15 4 -
S. Gruber 26 1-5 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 5 1 -
M. Sullivan 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
A. McCarthy 18 3-3 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 2 1 8 13 -
P. Sullivan 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
C. Taylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter