Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cunningham | 34 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Austin | 32 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 4-10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| L. Gurganious | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| D. Gordon | 31 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| B. Hampton | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Meo | 16 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| B. Dowdy | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. McMullan | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Chavarria | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Veteto | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Keeler | 31 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Brown | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Lewis | 27 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Hanson | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| S. Lewis | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 8-11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| R. Darling | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Taylor | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Odister | 17 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Anderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Royer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter