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UC Riverside Highlanders 65
@
Cal Poly Mustangs 67
2010-01-21

Model Predictions

Model UC Riverside Highlanders Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 52.5% 47.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 ✓ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 31.6% 68.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 27.2% 72.8% - ✓

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Cunningham 34 3-7 2-3 1-2 2 2 4 1 2 9 9 -
K. Austin 32 6-16 1-2 4-10 3 1 2 0 2 17 5 -
L. Gurganious 32 5-6 0-0 4-5 7 1 0 1 2 14 15 -
D. Gordon 31 3-5 1-1 2-4 3 5 4 1 1 9 16 -
B. Hampton 21 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
R. Meo 16 3-9 1-6 3-4 1 0 2 0 0 10 4 -
B. Dowdy 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
L. McMullan 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Chavarria 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Veteto 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Keeler 31 2-8 1-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 3 7 1 -
J. Brown 30 3-7 1-3 2-2 2 3 2 0 0 9 9 -
J. Lewis 27 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 5 2 -
D. Hanson 25 4-7 2-3 5-7 3 0 1 1 3 15 10 -
S. Lewis 24 3-6 2-3 8-11 5 4 2 1 2 16 20 -
R. Darling 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 2 -
W. Taylor 19 2-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 2 0 1 5 5 -
K. Odister 17 4-6 2-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 10 8 -
C. Anderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Royer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter