Model Predictions
| Model | Vermont Catamounts | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✓ (27.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -28 (51-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.