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2010-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 63.8% 36.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -
Efficiency 90.0% 10.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% -
Log Adjusted 70.8% 29.2% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Boynton 36 5-13 1-7 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 13 1 -
E. Walker 35 7-12 5-6 8-8 3 4 1 0 0 27 23 -
C. Parsons 31 1-8 0-2 4-8 11 5 0 0 1 6 13 -
A. Tyus 30 3-11 0-0 5-6 12 0 1 0 2 11 11 -
V. Macklin 28 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
D. Werner 23 0-4 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
R. Shipman 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
E. Murphy 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 0 3 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Clarke 38 6-12 5-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 17 6 -
C. Fortson 35 4-12 1-4 5-6 3 11 0 0 4 14 12 -
M. Powell 33 7-10 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 14 9 -
M. Britt 27 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 2 3 -
M. Washington 18 4-7 0-1 3-6 6 0 0 1 1 11 10 -
G. Bryant 14 2-4 2-3 0-1 6 0 0 3 0 6 11 -
D. Johnson 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
J. Farmer 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
S. Welsh 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
S. Cox 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter