Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +6 (103-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Camby * | 38 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 26 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 36 | 7-21 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 36 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Al Thornton * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Mardy Collins * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ricky Davis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steve Novak | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 44 | 11-21 | 3-4 | 9-10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 20 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 42 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Al Horford * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 32 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter