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2010-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carter 29 3-8 0-3 1-2 11 3 0 1 2 7 12 -
A. Young 25 2-6 0-1 1-1 4 0 0 0 4 5 -1 -
P. Stinnett 24 2-9 0-5 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -
C. Harriman 23 2-6 2-6 2-4 1 2 1 0 1 8 5 -
K. Lawson Jr. 20 3-7 0-0 5-8 3 1 0 1 2 11 7 -
D. Ashford 19 5-7 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 11 9 -
E. Wragge 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
C. Witter 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
C. Millard 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
K. Korver 9 0-2 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
W. Runnels 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Phillips 39 5-9 2-5 0-0 0 4 4 1 1 12 11 -
O. Eldridge 38 4-11 3-8 6-6 4 3 1 0 1 17 13 -
D. Odiakosa 35 5-10 0-0 3-8 11 3 3 0 2 13 18 -
T. Lewis 24 5-7 0-0 2-7 9 0 0 0 4 12 10 -
J. Clark 21 4-5 3-3 2-4 6 2 1 0 1 13 16 -
A. Rubin 20 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 2 3 -
A. Hill 11 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Carmichael 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
K. Thornton 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter