Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +2 (95-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 40 | 16-28 | 4-7 | 8-13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 19 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 35 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Lamar Odom | 36 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Farmar | 19 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Shannon Brown | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Luke Walton | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 44 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 41 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 23 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lester Hudson | 12 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter