Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -11 (88-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 31 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tony Allen | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Eddie House | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Glen Davis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 41 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 40 | 2-17 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 40 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Earl Boykins | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Andray Blatche | 22 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Nick Young | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter