Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -9 (100-109). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 38 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 25 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 33 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Channing Frye | 25 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Goran Dragic | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Earl Clark | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Thornton * | 39 | 10-21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 10 | - |
| David West * | 38 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 36 | 7-18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| James Posey | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Darius Songaila | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Julian Wright | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Morris Peterson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sean Marks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter