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2010-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.2% 83.8% - โœ“
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.1% 92.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +6 (54-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 36 4-14 2-6 1-1 4 1 0 0 3 11 -1 -
Z. Novak 36 0-6 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 0 2 -
D. Sims 34 9-14 1-2 4-6 13 1 2 2 3 23 24 -
S. Douglass 33 2-8 2-7 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 8 6 -
L. Lucas-Perry 30 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
D. Morris 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Z. Gibson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
M. Vogrich 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Wright 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 40 1-7 0-4 1-2 2 2 3 0 2 3 1 -
T. Hughes 38 7-15 2-6 4-5 7 2 0 1 1 20 14 -
T. Jarmusz 33 0-2 0-2 0-0 7 0 1 1 0 0 7 -
K. Nankivil 32 3-11 1-7 3-4 8 2 0 1 1 10 9 -
J. Taylor 24 0-7 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 2 1 -
R. Wilson 18 4-6 1-2 4-4 3 1 1 0 0 13 12 -
R. Evans 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
M. Bruesewitz 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter