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2010-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers Richmond Spiders Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% - โœ—
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 โœ— (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 18.0% 82.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 32.0% 68.0% - โœ—

Actual: Richmond Spiders -12 (59-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris 38 2-5 2-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 2 8 7 -
S. Spears 35 7-19 0-0 6-9 5 2 0 0 1 20 7 -
D. Green 34 5-10 3-7 0-1 2 5 2 0 0 13 12 -
C. Braswell 22 3-7 0-0 3-4 10 1 1 0 4 9 10 -
J. Barnett 21 3-6 2-4 2-2 11 0 0 2 1 10 16 -
P. Jones 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Dewhurst 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 0 0 4 8 -
K.J. Sherrill 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
G. Sirin 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
A. Wilderness 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
I. Andersen 4 0-0 0-0 2-3 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harper 36 8-11 4-5 4-6 6 3 1 3 3 24 23 -
K. Anderson 36 3-10 0-2 4-5 2 2 0 1 2 10 3 -
D. Gonzalvez 34 3-10 3-8 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 9 1 -
R. Butler 28 2-9 1-7 0-2 5 1 2 1 1 5 4 -
D. Garrett 26 2-4 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 3 0 7 13 -
D. Geriot 15 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
F. Martel 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Smith 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
D. Brothers 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Robbins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter