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2010-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% -
Bradley-Terry 20.3% 79.7% -
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 (25.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 4.3% 95.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% -
Log Adjusted 57.2% 42.8% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -13 (69-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Smith 37 9-17 1-2 1-2 7 6 0 0 4 20 12 -
C.J. Harris 33 6-11 4-7 4-5 1 0 1 1 0 20 12 -
A. Aminu 31 5-10 0-0 3-4 11 1 2 0 3 13 14 -
L.D. Williams 30 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 4 6 -
C. McFarland 30 1-3 0-0 3-5 10 1 0 4 3 5 14 -
A. Stewart 15 4-9 3-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 11 5 -
T. Woods 13 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 6 6 -
D. Weaver 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
G. Clark 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
B. Godwin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Walker 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Graves 33 5-13 2-8 4-4 8 1 0 1 1 16 12 -
D. Thompson 31 5-10 0-0 3-4 3 0 2 1 1 13 8 -
L. Drew II 26 3-8 2-6 0-0 5 6 0 0 4 8 7 -
T. Wear 25 6-11 0-1 1-2 6 1 0 0 0 13 9 -
M. Ginyard 25 2-9 1-3 2-2 4 4 1 1 0 7 8 -
D. Wear 18 3-7 0-1 0-1 4 0 0 1 1 6 3 -
D. Strickland 18 1-7 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 -1 -
L. McDonald 15 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Henson 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 2 0 2 1 3 -
J. Watts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter