Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.3 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fuller | 35 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| M. Gatens | 35 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 3 | - |
| E. May | 33 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| C. Payne | 30 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -2 | - |
| J. Cole | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Lickliter | 16 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| B. Cougill | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Bawinkel | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Brommer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 33 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| R. Morgan | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Summers | 29 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Allen | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Green | 25 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| K. Lucious | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Roe | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Nix | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Sherman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| A. Thornton | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter