Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -4 (80-84). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hargrove * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tay Waller * | 33 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| DeWayne Reed * | 27 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 8-14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Frankie Sullivan * | 26 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Johnnie Lett * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brendon Knox | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Earnest Ross | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Wallace | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Andre Malone | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ty Armstrong | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmin Mitchell * | 40 | 15-22 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 25 | - |
| Bo Spencer * | 40 | 4-17 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Storm Warren * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Chris Bass * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dennis Harris * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Zach Kinsley | 30 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Garrett Green | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Dotson | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Eddie Ludwig | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Daron Populist | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter