Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -4 (80-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hargrove | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Waller | 33 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Reed | 27 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 8-14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| B. Knox | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| F. Sullivan | 26 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| J. Lett | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Ross | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Wallace | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Malone | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Armstrong | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Spencer | 40 | 4-17 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 40 | 15-22 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 25 | - |
| S. Warren | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Z. Kinsley | 30 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Bass | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| G. Green | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Dotson | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Harris | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Ludwig | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Populist | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter