Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -6 (82-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Babbitt | 37 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 11-11 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 27 | - |
| B. Fields | 36 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 3-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| A. Johnson | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 25 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Shaw | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Hunt | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| M. Cukic | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Olson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Nyeko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Carp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 36 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| R. Arnold | 34 | 7-17 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | - |
| I. Okoye | 33 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| D. Montreal | 30 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| L. Anderson | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| P. Noonan | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Z. Moritz | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter