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2010-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 65.1% 34.9% -5.2 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 67.0% 33.0% - โœ“
Margin 65.9% 34.1% -3.6 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.6% 23.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 76.8% 23.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.6% 42.4% - โœ“

Actual: Boise State Broncos -6 (82-88). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luke Babbitt * 37 8-10 2-2 11-11 10 0 2 1 5 29 27 -
Brandon Fields * 36 8-16 2-5 3-9 3 3 1 0 1 21 11 -
Armon Johnson * 33 5-12 0-0 3-8 3 6 1 0 5 13 6 -
Joey Shaw * 24 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 1 3 7 6 -
Dario Hunt * 19 4-6 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 3 1 9 15 -
Ray Kraemer 25 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 6 4 -
Marko Cukic 14 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 0 3 6 -
Keith Olson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Patrick Nyeko 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Adam Carp 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Thomas * 36 5-11 2-5 7-8 4 4 6 0 1 19 21 -
Robert Arnold * 34 7-17 3-5 4-6 4 2 1 0 3 21 8 -
Ike Okoye * 33 6-14 0-0 4-4 13 1 0 4 2 16 18 -
Daequon Montreal * 30 5-12 1-3 2-4 4 1 0 0 2 13 4 -
La'Shard Anderson * 30 2-7 0-1 1-1 1 4 3 0 3 5 3 -
Paul Noonan 21 1-2 1-2 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
Kurt Cunningham 13 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
Zach Moritz 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter