Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.6% | 41.4% | -1.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -6 (78-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Moore | 38 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Johnson | 37 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 12-15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 23 | - |
| R. Hummel | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| C. Kramer | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Hart | 18 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| K. Grant | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Barlow | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| R. Smith | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Wohlford | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Bade | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis | 38 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| D. McCamey | 38 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 13-19 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 23 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 31 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| B. Cole | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Jordan | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Paul | 15 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Keller | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter