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2010-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 80.1% 19.9% -
Bradley-Terry 55.9% 44.1% -
Margin 61.8% 38.2% -2.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -
Efficiency 59.4% 40.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Log Adjusted 26.2% 73.8% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. James 35 3-12 1-3 2-2 7 0 3 3 4 9 6 -
A. Bradley 29 5-12 1-4 0-2 5 1 0 0 0 11 5 -
J. Mason 28 2-4 0-0 4-8 0 1 2 2 0 8 9 -
D. Balbay 23 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 4 1 1 6 7 8 -
G. Johnson 21 2-6 0-0 1-4 5 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
J. Hamilton 17 3-9 1-2 1-2 2 2 2 0 1 8 4 -
D. Pittman 16 3-7 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 1 2 6 5 -
J. Brown 15 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 -2 -
C. Chapman 7 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
J. Lucas 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Wangmene 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Hill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Clemente 33 2-9 0-2 1-7 2 8 2 0 3 5 5 -
C. Kelly 32 6-10 0-0 5-7 8 1 0 2 4 17 14 -
J. Pullen 30 2-15 0-6 8-10 3 2 2 0 5 12 -1 -
J. Samuels 28 8-13 1-2 3-5 12 0 1 1 1 20 20 -
R. McGruder 23 4-8 0-2 3-3 7 1 0 2 3 11 10 -
L. Colon 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 1 2 2 6 -
D. Sutton 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
M. Irving 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 0 0 0 5 -
C. Merriewether 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
W. Judge 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter