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2010-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 88.8% 11.2% -
Bradley-Terry 3.1% 96.9% -
Margin 24.0% 76.0% +6.3 (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.9% 35.1% -
Log Adjusted 65.0% 35.0% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -14 (60-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams 32 7-9 0-1 6-8 13 0 0 1 2 20 23 -
K. Fogg 31 3-7 1-4 12-12 2 3 0 0 5 19 12 -
N. Wise 29 5-10 4-5 5-6 6 5 1 0 3 19 18 -
J. Horne 29 3-6 0-2 1-3 2 1 2 1 1 7 6 -
S. Hill 23 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 3 3 4 -
K. Parrom 21 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 1 3 2 2 -
B. Lavender 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Jones 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
K. Natyazhko 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Jacobson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Armstead 34 5-11 2-4 4-4 3 2 2 1 2 16 11 -
T. Porter 33 1-7 1-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 5 5 -1 -
M. Dunigan 31 5-10 0-0 4-5 3 0 0 2 0 14 9 -
L. Longmire 30 6-15 0-0 6-9 4 2 1 0 1 18 9 -
E.J. Singler 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
T. Williams 19 2-6 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
J. Wilson 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
J. Jacob 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Sim 9 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -

* = starter