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2010-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Idaho Vandals Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 16.8% 83.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Margin 16.4% 83.6% +9.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.0% 81.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Johnson 33 5-10 3-6 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 13 9 -
L. Toledo 29 6-7 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 12 11 -
M. Hopson 25 5-8 2-3 4-4 5 4 0 0 3 16 14 -
L. de Souza 21 3-8 2-6 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
J. Ledbetter 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -1 -
K. Watson 19 1-8 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 -1 -
M. Jefferson 19 3-7 0-0 1-1 1 1 1 2 2 7 3 -
K. Barone 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 4 4 5 -
M. Lawrence 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 3 -1 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Fields 36 4-6 1-3 5-8 2 3 1 0 2 14 12 -
A. Johnson 35 6-14 1-3 4-6 2 5 3 0 3 17 10 -
L. Babbitt 35 7-10 0-0 5-6 9 4 2 1 0 19 25 -
D. Hunt 33 2-5 0-0 0-1 7 2 1 1 1 4 9 -
J. Shaw 29 4-9 1-2 6-6 4 1 2 0 1 15 12 -
R. Kraemer 21 2-6 2-6 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
L. Giles 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
K. Olson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Cukic 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter