Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +10 (69-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 38 | 8-17 | 6-12 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Phillips | 29 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| A. Rubin | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| K. Thornton | 20 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Hill | 19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Clark | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Lewis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Young | 36 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| A. Templeton | 35 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| R. Wedel | 33 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| F. Wiseler | 31 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| S. VanDeest | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Simons | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Eaddy | 10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Uhlenhopp | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Hawley | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter