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2010-01-16

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 54.8% 45.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (28.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% -
Efficiency 89.2% 10.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% -
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -21 (46-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lewis 36 9-15 5-9 1-2 3 3 0 1 4 24 12 -
M. Gerrity 35 0-3 0-1 0-0 8 4 0 0 0 0 9 -
N. Vucevic 33 9-12 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 1 3 19 13 -
M. Johnson 32 4-10 0-1 2-2 7 2 1 0 3 10 7 -
L. Washington 28 1-5 0-0 3-6 8 2 1 1 0 5 12 -
A. Stepheson 19 3-4 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 0 9 9 -
M. Simmons 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
D. Smith 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lee 37 5-11 0-5 2-4 3 1 1 0 3 12 3 -
M. Roll 34 4-12 2-6 2-2 3 1 1 1 2 12 4 -
N. Dragovic 31 0-6 0-3 2-2 2 2 0 1 2 2 -1 -
T. Honeycutt 30 1-5 1-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
R. Nelson 25 2-4 0-0 5-9 2 0 1 0 2 9 6 -
J. Keefe 17 2-4 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
M. Abdul-Hamid 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Anderson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
B. Lane 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Moser 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter