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2010-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 57.6% 42.4% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 45.7% 54.3% +0.9 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 26.4% 73.6% -
Efficiency 11.8% 88.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.3% 92.7% -
Log Adjusted 7.2% 92.8% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Henderson 38 5-13 5-9 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 15 3 -
L. Drca 35 1-6 0-1 8-9 5 4 0 0 2 10 11 -
C. Brown 32 5-12 3-5 3-5 1 3 1 0 3 16 6 -
D. Foster 28 4-5 0-0 5-7 6 1 0 6 0 13 21 -
J. Tavita 24 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
K. Tillie 16 1-1 0-0 4-4 5 0 1 0 1 6 10 -
S. Glover 15 3-5 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 1 7 8 -
J. Washburn 12 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
C. Hines 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willis 39 7-16 0-4 13-16 6 4 1 0 4 27 18 -
C. Stanback 33 4-10 0-2 6-7 10 0 1 0 2 14 13 -
O. Bellfield 29 3-7 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 2 2 6 3 -
M. Shaw 21 1-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
A. Marshall 18 3-7 0-0 1-4 4 1 1 2 1 7 7 -
K. Wallace 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 0 3 -
D. Jasper 15 2-5 0-2 2-4 1 0 0 1 0 6 3 -
B. Massamba 11 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
D. Santee 8 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Jones Jr. 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Hawkins 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter