Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Albany Great Danes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Albany Great Danes +7 (76-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gilliam | 36 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| M. Spadafora | 35 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C. De La Rosa | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| R. Jackson | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Satchell | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Wasco | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Grant | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| B. Neller | 11 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| N. Groce | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
Albany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ambrose | 29 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| B. Metcalf | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | - |
| B. Allen | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Black | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | - |
| W. Harris | 22 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| L. Aronhalt | 22 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| S. McRae | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| F. Urli | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Gifford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Tartt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter