Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -8 (57-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Freeman | 35 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| C. Fay | 35 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| J. Bocot | 31 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Dillard | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Brown-Surles | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| N. Mitchell | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| E. Teague | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. Crowder | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Booker | 6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Freeman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ryan | 38 | 6-18 | 3-9 | 7-8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| K. Lacey | 36 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Hopf | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| D. Holmes | 26 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T. Taylor | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Haarsma | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| N. Cox | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Hudson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Gregory | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter