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Northern Colorado Bears 74
@
Eastern Washington Eagles 71
2010-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% - ✗
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 ✗ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 73.2% 26.8% - ✓
Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 89.5% 10.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 89.8% 10.2% - ✓

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Beitzel 35 5-10 2-4 0-0 4 5 2 0 2 12 11 -
Y. Bonner 31 2-5 0-3 2-2 4 0 2 0 3 6 4 -
W. Figures 29 6-10 2-4 7-8 1 2 0 0 2 21 12 -
M. Proctor 25 2-6 0-1 0-2 5 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
N. Kingman 24 7-12 4-7 2-3 3 3 1 0 1 20 14 -
T. Montgomery 19 2-3 0-1 1-3 4 0 3 1 0 5 10 -
E. Lloyd 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 4 2 0 -
C. Kaba 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
C. Osborne 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 4 4 -

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Forbes 33 5-7 2-3 2-2 3 2 2 0 1 14 13 -
G. Dean 33 4-10 2-6 1-2 3 4 0 0 1 11 7 -
M. Dunn 27 4-7 2-3 6-6 4 2 1 0 1 16 15 -
B. Valentine 27 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 5 3 -
M. Brunell 19 1-2 0-0 0-1 6 4 1 1 2 2 10 -
G. Gibson 17 3-4 1-2 0-1 1 1 1 1 2 7 5 -
B. Moore 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Winford 14 3-8 2-5 0-0 0 0 1 1 3 8 -1 -
L. Griffin 13 3-7 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 1 0 6 3 -

* = starter