Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rehmel | 34 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Poellnitz | 34 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 10 | - |
| I. Qahwash | 29 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 23 | - |
| C. Dos Santos | 28 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| T. Sheppard | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Clayborn | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Rueter | 19 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| R. Daniels | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Henson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Q. Sanders | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bowman | 35 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| R. White | 34 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. Johnson | 34 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 12-15 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 33 | - |
| J. Rybak | 31 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Bishop | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J.B. Conley | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| U. Segura | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Sloan | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Hale | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| E. Bidias a Moute | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter