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2010-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 26.8% 73.2% +5.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% -
Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% -
Log Adjusted 66.1% 33.9% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +18 (75-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dews 32 3-11 1-4 6-6 1 0 1 1 1 13 4 -
A. Thomas 30 3-7 2-6 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 8 9 -
M. Grant 29 2-11 0-5 3-4 3 5 1 0 0 7 5 -
D. Collins 26 3-7 0-0 5-10 9 1 1 0 4 11 11 -
R. Johnson 25 1-4 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 0 1 6 10 -
D. Scott 20 3-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
J. Gamble 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -1 -
G. Adams 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. McGowan 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
A. Allen 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Jones 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Landesberg 31 8-14 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 0 4 18 6 -
M. Scott 28 5-11 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 10 3 -
S. Zeglinski 26 3-8 2-6 2-2 7 6 1 0 0 10 16 -
J. Evans 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 4 1 0 0 4 11 -
J. Meyinsse 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
M. Farrakhan 19 4-5 1-1 4-6 3 2 0 1 2 13 12 -
C. Baker 15 1-2 0-1 2-4 1 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Jones 14 3-4 3-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
A. Sene 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
W. Sherrill 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
S. Tat 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
T. Spurlock 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter