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2010-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 11.0% 89.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% -
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% -
Efficiency 92.8% 7.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% -
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +1 (57-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Murry 38 5-13 1-4 5-9 9 2 2 1 2 16 15 -
G. Hatch 36 3-8 2-5 0-1 5 4 3 0 1 8 11 -
G. Blair 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 5 2 3 -
J.T. Durley 22 4-10 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
C. Hannah 19 2-9 2-7 6-6 4 1 1 0 1 12 8 -
D. Kyles 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 4 6 -
G. Stutz 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
A. Ellis 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. Williams 9 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stinnett 27 5-11 2-5 2-3 2 0 1 0 2 14 4 -
J. Carter 27 1-4 1-2 5-8 4 1 1 0 1 8 9 -
C. Harriman 27 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 2 7 -
K. Lawson Jr. 24 3-8 0-0 5-6 7 0 1 2 1 11 12 -
C. Witter 22 2-7 1-4 5-6 0 2 0 0 1 10 4 -
A. Young 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
D. Ashford 14 1-5 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
E. Wragge 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Korver 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 0 1 -
W. Runnels 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
C. Millard 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
A. Bock 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter