Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hummel | 38 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| E. Moore | 34 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| C. Kramer | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Grant | 27 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Smith | 18 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Johnson | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| P. Bade | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| K. Barlow | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Wohlford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 39 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| J. Shurna | 38 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Nash | 38 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Crawford | 31 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7-10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 27 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| K. Rowley | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Capocci | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter