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2010-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 69.6% 30.4% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 61.3% 38.7% -
Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% -
Log Adjusted 73.0% 27.0% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brock 32 3-10 1-6 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 7 4 -
J. Green 31 6-13 0-0 1-3 8 3 2 1 3 13 11 -
M. Torrance 31 7-11 1-3 0-0 4 5 1 0 6 15 8 -
T. Mitchell 27 5-6 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 2 0 12 12 -
S. Hillman 26 1-7 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 4 -2 -
C. Davis 22 3-7 2-6 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
J. Knox 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Eblen 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
C. Hines 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
G. Cage 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Powell 35 8-13 0-1 2-2 10 0 1 0 2 18 14 -
M. Washington 35 5-10 0-1 7-7 13 1 1 1 1 17 22 -
C. Fortson 35 5-15 0-5 2-3 3 10 2 0 7 12 5 -
M. Britt 33 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 3 5 -
R. Clarke 31 5-11 4-8 3-4 4 2 0 0 1 17 11 -
S. Welsh 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Farmer 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
D. Johnson 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
S. Cox 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
G. Bryant 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Nobles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter