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2010-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 73.0% 27.0% -
Margin 74.0% 26.0% -5.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 72.3% 27.7% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.1% 4.9% -
Log Adjusted 95.1% 4.9% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Bledsoe 38 4-10 2-5 3-5 2 2 2 0 3 13 6 -
P. Patterson 36 4-6 0-0 4-6 5 3 0 0 1 12 13 -
J. Wall 35 3-6 0-0 7-8 2 4 1 0 7 13 7 -
D. Cousins 30 5-6 0-0 6-10 11 3 1 4 1 16 28 -
D. Miller 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 3 2 -
D. Liggins 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
D. Dodson 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
D. Orton 7 0-0 0-0 3-6 3 1 0 1 2 3 6 -
R. Harris 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
P. Stevenson 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 4 5 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed 40 7-25 3-9 2-2 2 6 2 0 6 19 -2 -
L. Hargrove 38 4-9 1-4 1-2 4 2 2 0 4 10 5 -
T. Waller 28 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
A. Malone 24 2-3 0-1 2-2 9 0 3 0 0 6 15 -
F. Sullivan 22 6-9 3-5 0-2 3 0 2 0 0 15 11 -
J. Lett 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 4 7 -
B. Knox 17 2-4 0-0 3-6 0 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
E. Ross 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
K. Gabriel 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
T. Armstrong 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter