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2010-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 16.0% 84.0% -
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% -
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 28.8% 71.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Log Adjusted 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 37 12-15 0-0 4-8 9 2 2 0 3 28 23 -
N. Larson 30 4-10 1-5 0-0 4 3 1 1 4 9 4 -
J. Olubuyi 29 1-4 0-0 1-2 0 2 2 0 1 3 2 -
S. Johannsen 27 4-7 0-0 3-3 5 1 0 3 0 11 13 -
E. Platt 25 2-7 1-4 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 6 2 -
G. Rogers 19 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 6 5 1 -
J. Lepley 14 4-5 0-0 3-4 9 0 0 3 2 11 16 -
S. Saldivar 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
R. Wallace 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Dean 37 5-12 1-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 5 11 3 -
B. Moore 36 5-12 0-0 1-4 10 0 3 1 1 11 12 -
J. Forbes 33 5-12 1-4 2-2 3 2 3 0 0 13 9 -
M. Dunn 29 3-9 0-1 4-4 3 1 1 0 1 10 5 -
G. Gibson 22 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 3 6 -
B. Valentine 19 5-7 2-3 2-2 0 3 1 0 2 14 9 -
L. Griffin 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 2 4 -
K. Winford 9 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
M. Brunell 3 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -

* = starter