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2010-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 94.7% 5.3% -
Bradley-Terry 5.7% 94.3% -
Margin 34.8% 65.2% +3.4 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% -
Efficiency 76.9% 23.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Log Adjusted 59.1% 40.9% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Wise 36 5-12 3-6 3-4 3 1 1 0 4 16 5 -
K. Fogg 33 5-13 1-4 1-1 3 3 2 0 1 12 6 -
D. Williams 30 7-13 0-0 6-8 7 1 0 1 1 20 15 -
J. Horne 30 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 3 5 -
K. Parrom 26 1-4 0-1 2-2 6 3 1 0 2 4 8 -
S. Hill 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
L. Jones 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
K. Natyazhko 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
B. Lavender 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 4 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Haynes 35 3-10 2-5 1-2 3 4 0 0 2 9 4 -
S. Tarver 31 4-6 0-1 6-8 5 5 2 0 0 14 20 -
R. Schaftenaar 30 8-12 1-2 5-8 4 2 1 2 1 22 18 -
L. Wallace 25 4-8 4-8 2-3 5 2 0 0 2 14 11 -
D. Deane 22 0-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 -
J. Tarver 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 0 5 -
J. Cunningham 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
O. Johnson 11 1-3 0-2 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. McShane 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
A. Brandt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Burton 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter