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2010-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 15.9% 84.1% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 24.9% 75.1% -
Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% -
Log Adjusted 26.2% 73.8% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Williams 33 3-7 2-5 4-5 1 2 0 0 0 12 8 -
M. Mullery 27 1-7 1-2 2-2 5 7 0 0 4 5 6 -
S. Gruber 26 3-5 1-1 8-10 3 1 1 0 1 15 14 -
M. Sullivan 26 2-6 2-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
A. McCarthy 25 7-12 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 0 14 12 -
G. Leffelman 24 3-6 0-2 3-3 2 0 0 1 0 9 6 -
T. Halpern 23 0-6 0-4 3-4 5 2 1 1 1 3 5 -
C. Taylor 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 -
P. Sullivan 7 3-3 1-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 8 8 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zampier 33 6-16 1-6 1-2 2 4 3 1 0 14 8 -
M. Sands 32 5-11 0-1 5-6 8 2 1 0 1 15 14 -
J. Gibson 24 6-10 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 13 10 -
P. Nelson 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 1 4 8 -
P. Braswell 20 2-6 0-3 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 4 8 -
M. Grace 18 5-8 2-3 2-4 2 2 0 0 2 14 8 -
G. Mangano 17 0-4 0-1 2-4 5 0 0 2 1 2 4 -
A. Morgan 16 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
R. Willhite 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Davis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
R. Mantilla 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter